This is a formidable task. Terrestrial systems are inherently multiscale, involve more processes than traditional multiphysics applications, and have significant uncertainty in process representation and coupling at different scales. Moreover, the scientific software community is facing the confluence of disruptive changes in computing architectures and new opportunities for greatly improved simulation capabilities. New architectures, while demanding fundamental algorithm and software refactoring, are at the same time enabling new multiscale and multiphysics modeling, simulation, and analysis.

Fig. 12. Schematic Showing Integrated Software Ecosystem Needed to Realize Potential of Virtual Systems. Here, as envisioned in Chapter 3 (p. 11), productivity of the modern scientific workflow (center ring) is enhanced because the critical phases of model development, simulation, and analysis leverage expertise and capability from the interdisciplinary community. Model development leverages interoperable components generated by multiple projects and contributes new model components to this collection within a flexible framework. Similarly, significant gains in the efficiency of the analysis phase, which includes sensitivity analysis (SA), uncertainty quantification (UQ) and parameter estimation (PE) are realized through more flexible and modular designs that enable efficient collaboration between the computational science and domain science communities. [Image courtesy David Moulton, Los Alamos National Laboratory]
Specifically for the Genomes-to-Watershed Project, Phase I of which is an intensive study of the Colorado River watershed near Rifle, Colorado, IDEAS will provide fundamental simulation of biogeochemical cycling within the East River Watershed. The objective of this work, over the next three years, will be a better understanding of aquifer redox status and climate impacts on watershed carbon and nitrogen cycling—through higher fidelity, multiscale models simulated at high spatial resolution.

Fig. 6. High-Resolution Digital Elevation Maps. Shown at similar resolution, a typical analysis might begin with (a) highresolution topography from the East River Catchment, Gunnison County, Colorado, which is used to develop coupled surfacesubsurface hydrological flow models. These flow models then are expanded by incorporating (b) surface hydrology (rock type) and (c) land cover (vegetation) distributions, which then interact with the atmosphere. [Images courtesy Christine Pribulick and Reed Maxwell, Colorado School of Mines]
With IDEAS, BER envisions a software ecosystem of interoperable components to increase both software development and scientific productivity across its portfolio of projects that depend on modeling.